Fiscal Devaluation as an Economic Policy Tool

Authors

  • Krzysztof Marczewski Instytut Badań Rynku, Konsumpcji i Koniunktur, Warszawa

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15678/ZNUEK.2015.0945.0908

Keywords:

exchange rate, internal devaluation, fiscal policy, international competitiveness

Abstract

Growing divergence of competitiveness, followed by the appearance of huge current account imbalances among member countries of the Euro zone, have stimulated research for corrective tools beyond the exchange rate. Fiscal devaluation is one such alternative, which consists in the simultaneous shifting of output towards exports and expenditure towards domestic goods by means of a balanced change in the structure of fiscal incidence. Fiscal devaluation is discussed in a broader context of different forms of internal devaluation.  The paper reviews recent literature on potential benefits and drawbacks of this tool and conditions of its effectiveness, for countries both in an outside of the currency union. The author concludes that Poland does not fulfil the majority of these conditions. The exchange rate of the country’s currency varies considerably, the ratio of minimal wage to average wage is not particularly high as compared with other EU countries and the range of indexation of public transfers to inflation is relatively wide. In these conditions fiscal devaluation would not work effectively as a tool of external equilibrium maintenance.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Armingeon K., Baccaro L. [2012], Political Economy of the Sovereign Debt Crisis: The Limits of Internal Devaluation, „Industrial Law Journal”, vol. 41, nr 3, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/indlaw/dws029.

Arnold J. [2008], Do Tax Structures Affect Aggregate Economic Growth?: Empirical Evidence from a Panel of OECD Countries, OECD Working Paper, nr 643.

Bank of Portugal [2011], The Impact of a Tax Change Aimed at the Increasing the External Competitiveness of the Portuguese Economy, „Economic Bulletin”, vol. 17, nr 1.

Bosca J. E., Donenech R., Ferri J. [2012], Fiscal Devaluations in EMU, BBVA Research Working Papers, nr 12/11.

European Central Bank [2011], Fiscal Devaluation – A Tool for Economic Adjustment, Monthly Bulletin, December, box 12.

European Commission [2011], Internal Devaluation and External Imbalances: A Model Based Analysis, Quarterly Report on the Euro Area III, Brussels.

Farhi E., Gopinath G., Itskhoki O. [2012], Fiscal Devaluations, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Working Papers, nr 12–10.

Feldstein M., Krugman P. [1990], International Trade Effects of Value-added Tax [w:] The Taxation in the Global Economy, eds. A. Razin, J. Slemrod, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.

Grauwe de P. [2012], In Search of Symmetry in the Eurozone, CEPS Commentary, 2 May.

Have the Peripheral Economies Regained Competitiveness? [2013], eds. R. Bootle, J. Loynes, European Economics Focus, Capital Economics, February 18th.

Horta Correia I. [2011], Fiscal Devaluation, Banco de Portugal, „Economic Bulletin”, vol. 17, nr 4.

IMF [2011], Fiscal Devaluation: What Is It and Does It Work?, Fiscal Monitor, September, appendix 1.

Keen M., Syed M. [2006], Domestic Taxes and International Trade: Some Evidence, IMF Working Paper, nr 06/47.

Keynes J.M. [1931], Addendum to: Great Britain. Committee on Finance and Industry Report [w:] The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, vol. 20, Macmillan and Cambridge: Cambridge Press for the Royal Economic Society, London.

Koske I. [2013], Fiscal Devaluation – Can It Help to Boost Competitiveness?, OECD Economic Department Working Papers, nr 1089, OECD Publishing.

Langot F., Patureau L., Sopraseuth T. [2011], Optimal Fiscal Devaluation, IZA Discussion Papers, nr 6624.

Marczewski K. [2002a], Instrumenty finansowe polityki proeksportowej w Polsce w latach 1993–2000 – uwarunkowania i ocena skuteczności, Studia i Prace Kolegium Zarządzania i Finansów SGH, zeszyt 24.

Marczewski K. [2002b], Zmiany kursu walutowego a ceny i reakcje przedsiębiorstw w handlu zagranicznym, Instytut Koniunktur i Cen Handlu Zagranicznego, Warszawa.

Marczewski K. [2014], Sfera realna [w:] Kryzys a polityka stabilizacyjna w Unii Europejskiej, red. P. Albiński, Oficyna Wydawnicza SGH, Warszawa.

Medaiskyte R., Klyviene V. [2012], The Effectiveness of Internal Devaluation in Lithuania and Latvia, „Ekonomika”, vol. 91, nr 1.

Mooij de R., Keen M. [2012], Fiscal Devaluation and Fiscal Consolidation: The VAT in Troubled Times, NBER Working Papers, nr 17913.

OECD [2008], OECD Economic Surveys: Germany, Paris.

Ruparel R. [2012], Can Struggling Eurozone Countries Achieve the Necessary „Internal Devaluation” – And at What Political Cost?, Open Europe, September.

Weisbrot M., Ray R. [2010], Latvia’s Recession: The Cost of Adjustment with an „Internal Devaluation”, CEPR, February.

Weisbrot M., Ray R. [2011], Latvia’s Internal Devaluation: A Success Story?, CEPR, December.

Published

2016-03-29

Issue

Section

Articles